TechDev Newsletter

TechDev Newsletter

TechDev Newsletter - Market Update Issue #83

Signal Convergence: Crystallizing the Long-Term View

Nov 30, 2025
∙ Paid

The local bottom prior to our expected relief rally is still developing. It’s not yet time for a short-term update on the bounce we’re anticipating before either another short-term leg down or a double bottom into Q1 2026. I’m monitoring this closely and will provide that update next issue.

Today, I want to crystallize the long-term view by bringing together all the top cyclical signals I’ve now spent years studying. After the timeline adjustments in Issue #82, some of you have understandably wanted more clarity on the macro picture. This issue is dedicated to providing exactly that - a comprehensive framework that explains not just where we’re going, but why the data points so clearly in that direction.


Today’s Topics

The Holy Grail Chart

  • Seven Elements Explained

  • Cycle Symmetry and Timing Implications

Trunk Confluence

  • Remarkable Four-Year Tracking

  • Mean Reversion Dynamics

The Liquidity Cycle

  • Key Ratio Framework

  • Business Cycle Alignment

  • The Early 2023 Anomaly Explained

  • Sub-Cycle Implications Through 2028

The Russell Signal

  • Small Cap Structure and Expansion

  • Business Cycle Correlation

  • Altcoin Market Implications

Looking Ahead

  • Sector Analysis Coming Next Issue

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