TechDev Newsletter - Market Update Issue #83
Signal Convergence: Crystallizing the Long-Term View
The local bottom prior to our expected relief rally is still developing. It’s not yet time for a short-term update on the bounce we’re anticipating before either another short-term leg down or a double bottom into Q1 2026. I’m monitoring this closely and will provide that update next issue.
Today, I want to crystallize the long-term view by bringing together all the top cyclical signals I’ve now spent years studying. After the timeline adjustments in Issue #82, some of you have understandably wanted more clarity on the macro picture. This issue is dedicated to providing exactly that - a comprehensive framework that explains not just where we’re going, but why the data points so clearly in that direction.
Today’s Topics
The Holy Grail Chart
Seven Elements Explained
Cycle Symmetry and Timing Implications
Trunk Confluence
Remarkable Four-Year Tracking
Mean Reversion Dynamics
The Liquidity Cycle
Key Ratio Framework
Business Cycle Alignment
The Early 2023 Anomaly Explained
Sub-Cycle Implications Through 2028
The Russell Signal
Small Cap Structure and Expansion
Business Cycle Correlation
Altcoin Market Implications
Looking Ahead
Sector Analysis Coming Next Issue
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