TechDev Newsletter

TechDev Newsletter

TechDev Newsletter - Market Update Issue #37

An Undeniable Cycle: One of my Most Important Issues

Jan 15, 2024
∙ Paid

Here we go. Things are getting interesting.

ETFs have taken over the narrative, fears of “sell-the-news” are everywhere, 200K targets one day, 10K the next.

I don’t care about any of it. Charts only for me. Trying to filter the noise and identify the signal. This is a primary reason for my Twitter hiatus.

I’ve been through a few “cycles” at this point. First I was silent, then I accidentally became popular.

It’s taught me the dangers of following the news, getting swept up in narratives, and overly-supplying your cerebral cortex with everyone’s opinions.

There are a few accounts who offer genuinely valuable analyses. All of whom I respect, and many I call friends.

This time around, my preference is to openly consider those few other trustworthy views while maintaining focus on my own reads and keeping distractions at a minimum.

Today I want to present to you the result of months of research and analysis.

It will be the basis of my refined primary outlook on the next 1.5 years of the crypto market.

I again will structure this as a single issue covering Bitcoin and altcoins. It will flow better given how both will be connected to the same macro cyclical view.

I recommend reading every section.

Today’s topics:

Bitcoin
  • “Slow” and “Fast” Path Update

  • A Historically Strong Impulse

  • An Undeniable Cycle and The Implied 1.5 Year Path

Altcoins
  • Tether Dominance Distribution

  • Bitcoin Dominance Reversal

  • Altcoin Dominance Lag

Newsletter Future
  • Topping Signal Updates

  • Price and Schedule Adjustment

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